RECOGNISING+UNCERTAINTY

Recognising Uncertainty

recognise and respond to unpredictability and variability in events [|__http://nzmaths.co.nz/resource/no-way-jose__] No way Jose - In this unit we develop the language of probability by considering events which are likely or unlikely. We do this using the context of children's stories. [|__http://www.abc.net.au/countusin/games/game12.htm__] Find the star in the in the box you only get 6 chances  identify outcomes of simple chance events, such as the rolling of a die [|__http://nzmaths.co.nz/resource/lonely-pig__]  Loney Pig -In this unit we have a first look at uncertainty and chance. The activities in this unit are games that involve following rules, making predictions and seeing what happens.  __[] __ Its not fair - In this unit the students further develop their concept of chance by discussing the likelihood of different events. They are also introduced to ways of identifying all possible outcomes of an event. <span style="background-color: transparent; display: block; font-family: Times; font-size: medium; line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;"> appreciate concept of fairness of chance games
 * Progressing towards level 1.0**
 * Progressing towards level 2.0**
 * Progressing towards level 3.0**

appreciate both long-term predictability and short-term variation
 * Progressing towards level 4.0**

<span style="background-color: transparent; display: block; font-family: Times; font-size: medium; line-height: normal; margin: 0px;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #000000; font-family: Arial; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Assigning a numerical value to chance. <span style="background-color: transparent; color: #000099; font-family: Arial; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">[|__http://www.smartkiddies.com.au/resource/activity?type=strand&key=Chance&lesson_id=1172__] <span style="background-color: transparent; color: #000000; font-family: Arial; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"> Eg: There are 26 animals 5 are seahorses. What are your chances of catching a seahorse.

· classify events as dependent or independent · find and interpret expected value e.g. of gain or loss
 * Progressing towards level 6.0**